Is Reality Fracture - Secret Lair Bundle Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-24 · 114 DAYS TRACKEDAs an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
Reality Fracture - Secret Lair Bundle box price, last 114 days: box from $119.95 to $198.75.
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | $191.70 | $191.70 | $194.69 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-23 | $191.69 | $191.70 | $191.70 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-22 | $190.87 | $191.67 | $191.70 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $189.77 | $188.95 | $191.70 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $189.69 | $188.95 | $191.73 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $189.75 | $174.71 | $191.75 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $189.78 | $188.95 | $191.73 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $189.85 | $189.51 | $190.36 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $191.09 | $189.51 | $191.66 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-15 | $191.23 | $189.51 | $191.70 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-14 | $191.66 | $191.62 | $191.80 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-13 | $191.69 | $191.68 | $191.89 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-12 | $191.77 | $191.72 | $193.84 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-11 | $191.18 | $191.74 | $193.84 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-10 | $191.14 | $190.95 | $191.92 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-09 | $192.07 | $185.00 | $192.47 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-08 | $192.49 | $192.46 | $192.48 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $192.50 | $192.49 | $194.13 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $192.51 | $192.49 | $194.13 | $229.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $192.51 | $192.51 | $196.77 | $397.89 |
| 2026-09-04 | $192.52 | $192.51 | $196.77 | $397.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $192.47 | $192.51 | $196.77 | $398.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | $192.27 | $192.53 | $195.00 | $398.19 |
| 2026-09-01 | $192.30 | $192.33 | $194.96 | $398.29 |
| 2026-08-31 | $192.35 | $192.52 | $194.91 | $398.39 |
| 2026-08-30 | $192.68 | $192.52 | $194.91 | $398.49 |
| 2026-08-29 | $192.75 | $192.56 | $193.88 | $398.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | $193.02 | $192.60 | $192.85 | $398.69 |
| 2026-08-27 | $193.02 | $192.60 | $192.85 | $398.69 |
| 2026-08-26 | $192.98 | $192.69 | $194.91 | $398.79 |
About Reality Fracture - Secret Lair Bundle
Reality Fracture - Secret Lair Bundle currently sells for $191.70 at market, down 1.4% over 30 days and up 9.2% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $198.75 (2026-07-25); low: $119.95 (2026-05-05).
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxs open below it.
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
114 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-24.