Is Reality Fracture - Prerelease Case Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-18 · 47 DAYS TRACKEDAs an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
Reality Fracture - Prerelease Case box price, last 47 days: box from $824.90 to $899.84.
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | $824.90 | $749.91 | $749.92 | $899.03 |
| 2026-09-17 | $824.90 | $749.93 | $749.94 | $899.13 |
| 2026-09-16 | $824.90 | $749.94 | $749.95 | $899.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | $849.88 | $749.94 | $749.95 | $899.33 |
| 2026-09-14 | $849.88 | $749.95 | $749.96 | $899.43 |
| 2026-09-13 | $849.88 | $749.96 | $749.97 | $899.53 |
| 2026-09-12 | $849.88 | $749.96 | $749.97 | $899.63 |
| 2026-09-11 | $849.88 | $749.97 | $749.98 | $899.73 |
| 2026-09-10 | $899.84 | $749.99 | $824.91 | $899.83 |
| 2026-09-09 | $899.84 | $899.83 | $899.83 | $899.83 |
| 2026-09-08 | $899.84 | $899.83 | $899.83 | $899.83 |
| 2026-09-07 | $899.84 | $899.83 | $899.83 | $899.83 |
| 2026-09-06 | $899.84 | $899.83 | $899.83 | $899.83 |
| 2026-09-05 | $899.84 | $899.83 | $899.83 | $899.83 |
| 2026-09-04 | $899.84 | $799.99 | $799.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $899.84 | $799.99 | $799.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $899.84 | $799.99 | $799.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $899.84 | $799.99 | $799.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $899.84 | $799.99 | $799.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-28 | $899.84 | $799.99 | $799.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-27 | $899.84 | $799.99 | $799.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-25 | $899.84 | $799.99 | $799.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-24 | $899.84 | $799.99 | $799.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-23 | $899.84 | $899.99 | $899.99 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-22 | $899.84 | $899.99 | $899.99 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-12 | $899.84 | $899.99 | $899.99 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-11 | $899.84 | $899.99 | $899.99 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-10 | $899.84 | $899.99 | $899.99 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-09 | $899.84 | $899.99 | $899.99 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-08 | $899.84 | $899.99 | $899.99 | $899.99 |
About Reality Fracture - Prerelease Case
Reality Fracture - Prerelease Case currently sells for $824.90 at market, down 8.3% over 30 days. All-time tracked high: $899.84 (2026-07-20); low: $824.90 (2026-09-16).
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxs open below it.
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
47 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-18.