Shown with one Booster Pack $8.26 per pack at the box price

Theros Sealed · Booster display

Is Theros - Booster Box Worth Opening?

36 packsTherosTHS

TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $297.36

1-year range $176.60$301.47 1.4% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of box price SKIP

0.32×

EV $94.58, $202.78 less card value than the box costs.

TCGplayer, $297.36 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $262.50, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 10, 2026, before shipping.

Theros - Booster Box Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one box at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $94.60, or 0.32× the $297.36 the box costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $2.63 vs $8.26 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.33 of the $2.63 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 314.3% of market value covers the box

Card value below price −$202.76 before fees and shipping

$0$100$200$300$400

$12.04 12.7%

$77.94 82.4%

$4.62 4.9%

$0.00 0.0%

$94.60 100%

−$202.76 card value below the box price

Box price$297.36

Wildcard / Treatment36 slots per box

Rare / Mythic36 slots per box

Commons & Uncommons432 slots per box

Lands36 slots per box

Box EVSum of every slot

Box price $297.36

Wildcard / Treatment$12.04 · 12.7%

Rare / Mythic$77.94 · 82.4%

Commons & Uncommons$4.62 · 4.9%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Box EV$94.60

$202.76 under price

About Theros - Booster Box

Theros - Booster Box contains 36 packs. At $297.36 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $176.60 to $301.47.

What’s in the box

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

324 per box

Uncommon 3 per pack

108 per box

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

36 per box

Wildcard 0.8 per pack

27.9 per box

Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack

8.1 per box

Land 1 per pack

36 per box

Common9 per pack

324per box

Uncommon3 per pack

108per box

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

36per box

Wildcard0.8 per pack

27.9per box

Traditional Foil0.2 per pack

8.1per box

Land1 per pack

36per box

Valued slots15 per pack · 540 per box

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 540.0 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.01 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per box	Per card	Share of box EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	36.0	$12.04	$0.33	12.7%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	36	$77.94	$2.17	82.4%
Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack	432	$4.62	$0.01	4.9%
LandsBasic or showcase land	36	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Box total, 540.0 cards	540.0	$94.60	$0.18	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$12.04
12.7%
36.0 cards per box · $0.33 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$77.94
82.4%
36 cards per box · $2.17 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$4.62
4.9%
432 cards per box · $0.01 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
36 cards per box · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per box · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Box total, 540.0 cards$94.60

Outcome rangeOne box

Likely range for one box

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single box at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$94.58Equals the box EV

Middle half spans$66.37High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened boxes.

How we price a box

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$61.40 to $127.77

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Box price

Best Pulls in Theros - Booster Box

Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx is the best pull at $47.34. Pulls are expected copies per box; EV is pulls times market price.

All Theros prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Nykthos, Shrine to NyxMain set · Nonfoil · THS #223	Rare	$47.34	0.60	1 in 2 boxes	$28.17	29.8%
2	Swan SongMain set · Nonfoil · THS #65	Rare	$12.67	0.60	1 in 2 boxes	$7.54	8.0%
3	Purphoros, God of the ForgeMain set · Nonfoil · THS #135	Mythic	$24.35	0.30	1 in 3 boxes	$7.24	7.7%
4	Whip of ErebosMain set · Nonfoil · THS #110	Rare	$9.63	0.60	1 in 2 boxes	$5.73	6.1%
5	ThoughtseizeMain set · Nonfoil · THS #107	Rare	$7.02	0.60	1 in 2 boxes	$4.18	4.4%
6	Gray Merchant of AsphodelMain set · Nonfoil · THS #89	Common	$1.08	3.47		$3.75	4.0%
7	Nykthos, Shrine to NyxMain set · Foil · THS #223	Rare	$171.02	0.02	1 in 50 boxes	$3.43	3.6%
8	Erebos, God of the DeadMain set · Nonfoil · THS #85	Mythic	$10.77	0.30	1 in 3 boxes	$3.20	3.4%
These eight together		$63.24, 66.9% of box EV. The other $31.34 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx

THS #223

Nonfoil

$47.34

EV $28.17 · 1 in 2 boxes

#2 Swan Song

THS #65

Nonfoil

$12.67

EV $7.54 · 1 in 2 boxes

#3 Purphoros, God of the Forge

THS #135

Nonfoil

$24.35

EV $7.24 · 1 in 3 boxes

#4 Whip of Erebos

THS #110

Nonfoil

$9.63

EV $5.73 · 1 in 2 boxes

#5 Thoughtseize

THS #107

Nonfoil

$7.02

EV $4.18 · 1 in 2 boxes

#6 Gray Merchant of Asphodel

THS #89

Nonfoil

$1.08

EV $3.75 · 3.47 per box

#7 Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx

THS #223

Foil

$171.02

EV $3.43 · 1 in 50 boxes

#8 Erebos, God of the Dead

THS #85

Nonfoil

$10.77

EV $3.20 · 1 in 3 boxes

1
Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx
THS #223Nonfoil
$47.34 market · 0.60 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$28.1729.8% of EV
2
Swan Song
THS #65Nonfoil
$12.67 market · 0.60 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$7.548.0% of EV
3
Purphoros, God of the Forge
THS #135Nonfoil
$24.35 market · 0.30 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$7.247.7% of EV
4
Whip of Erebos
THS #110Nonfoil
$9.63 market · 0.60 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$5.736.1% of EV
5
Thoughtseize
THS #107Nonfoil
$7.02 market · 0.60 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$4.184.4% of EV
6
Gray Merchant of Asphodel
THS #89Nonfoil
$1.08 market · 3.47 per box
$3.754.0% of EV
7
Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx
THS #223Foil
$171.02 market · 0.02 per box · 1 in 50 boxes
$3.433.6% of EV
8
Erebos, God of the Dead
THS #85Nonfoil
$10.77 market · 0.30 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$3.203.4% of EV

These eight together$63.24, 66.9% of box EV

All Theros prices

Theros - Booster Box Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed box, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$200$400Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBox price$297.36Crack EV$94.58Mana Pool$262.501Y high $301.471Y low $176.60

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 10, 2026

Crack EV has held below box price for 228 days.

Now: $297.36; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $301.47; 1.4% above today
1-year low: $176.60; Today is 68.4% higher

The Theros lineup

Every Theros product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.32×

The Theros - Booster Box sells for $297.36 and carries $94.58 in expected card value at market, a 0.32× ratio and $202.78 less than the box costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This box, 0.32×

Theros - Booster Box FAQ