Magic Origins Sealed · Booster pack

Is Magic Origins - Booster Pack Worth Opening?

Magic OriginsORI

TCGplayer market · Nov 9, 2026 $6.03

1-year range $5.12$6.04 0.2% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.30×

EV $1.83, $4.20 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $6.03, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $6.18 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Magic Origins - Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $1.83, or 0.30× the $6.03 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $1.83 vs $6.03 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.27 of the $1.83 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 329.0% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$4.20 before fees and shipping

$0$2$4$6$8

$0.27 14.6%

$1.29 70.6%

$0.27 14.9%

$0.00 0.0%

$1.83 100%

−$4.20 card value below the pack price

Pack price$6.03

Wildcard / Treatment1 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons12 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $6.03

Wildcard / Treatment$0.27 · 14.6%

Rare / Mythic$1.29 · 70.6%

Commons & Uncommons$0.27 · 14.9%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Pack EV$1.83

$4.20 under price

About Magic Origins - Booster Pack

At $6.03 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $5.12 to $6.04.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Common9 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil0.2 per pack

Land1 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.02 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	1	$0.27	$0.27	14.6%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$1.29	$1.29	70.6%
Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack	12	$0.27	$0.02	14.9%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$1.83	$0.12	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$0.27
14.6%
1 card per pack · $0.27 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$1.29
70.6%
1 card per pack · $1.29 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.27
14.9%
12 cards per pack · $0.02 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
1 card per pack · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 15 cards$1.83

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$1.83Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$4.05High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $4.05

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Magic Origins - Booster Pack

Elemental Bond is the best pull at $4.81. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Magic Origins prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Elemental BondMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #174	Uncommon	$4.81	0.04	1 in 27 packs	$0.18	9.8%
2	Chandra's IgnitionMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #137	Rare	$8.23	0.02	1 in 63 packs	$0.13	7.1%
3	Tainted RemedyMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #120	Rare	$8.05	0.02	1 in 63 packs	$0.13	7.1%
4	Starfield of NyxMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #33	Mythic	$12.08	0.01	1 in 126 packs	$0.10	5.5%
5	Sword of the AnimistMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #240	Rare	$5.52	0.02	1 in 63 packs	$0.09	4.9%
6	Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath UnboundMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #60	Mythic	$11.03	0.01	1 in 126 packs	$0.09	4.9%
7	Alhammarret's ArchiveMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #221	Mythic	$10.27	0.01	1 in 126 packs	$0.08	4.4%
8	Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant NecromancerMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #106	Mythic	$7.93	0.01	1 in 126 packs	$0.06	3.3%
These eight together		$0.86, 47.0% of pack EV. The other $0.97 comes from the rest of the set.

Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound — The three mythics, $12.08, $11.03 and $10.27. Each turns up about once in 126 packs.

Starfield of Nyx — The three mythics, $12.08, $11.03 and $10.27. Each turns up about once in 126 packs.

#1 Elemental Bond

ORI #174

Nonfoil

$4.81

EV $0.18 · 1 in 27 packs

#2 Chandra's Ignition

ORI #137

Nonfoil

$8.23

EV $0.13 · 1 in 63 packs

#3 Tainted Remedy

ORI #120

Nonfoil

$8.05

EV $0.13 · 1 in 63 packs

#4 Starfield of Nyx

ORI #33

Nonfoil

$12.08

EV $0.10 · 1 in 126 packs

#5 Sword of the Animist

ORI #240

Nonfoil

$5.52

EV $0.09 · 1 in 63 packs

#6 Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound

ORI #60

Nonfoil

$11.03

EV $0.09 · 1 in 126 packs

#7 Alhammarret's Archive

ORI #221

Nonfoil

$10.27

EV $0.08 · 1 in 126 packs

#8 Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer

ORI #106

Nonfoil

$7.93

EV $0.06 · 1 in 126 packs

1
Elemental Bond
ORI #174Nonfoil
$4.81 market · 0.04 per pack · 1 in 27 packs
$0.189.8% of EV
2
Chandra's Ignition
ORI #137Nonfoil
$8.23 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 63 packs
$0.137.1% of EV
3
Tainted Remedy
ORI #120Nonfoil
$8.05 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 63 packs
$0.137.1% of EV
4
Starfield of Nyx
ORI #33Nonfoil
$12.08 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 126 packs
$0.105.5% of EV
5
Sword of the Animist
ORI #240Nonfoil
$5.52 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 63 packs
$0.094.9% of EV
6
Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound
ORI #60Nonfoil
$11.03 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 126 packs
$0.094.9% of EV
7
Alhammarret's Archive
ORI #221Nonfoil
$10.27 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 126 packs
$0.084.4% of EV
8
Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer
ORI #106Nonfoil
$7.93 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 126 packs
$0.063.3% of EV

These eight together$0.86, 47.0% of pack EV

All Magic Origins prices

Magic Origins - Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$2$4$6Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$6.03Crack EV$1.83Mana Pool$6.181Y high $6.041Y low $5.12

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 9, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 228 days.

Now: $6.03; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $6.04; 0.2% above today
1-year low: $5.12; Today is 17.8% higher

The Magic Origins lineup

Every Magic Origins product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.30×

The Magic Origins - Booster Pack sells for $6.03 and carries $1.83 in expected card value at market, a 0.30× ratio and $4.20 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.30×

Magic Origins - Booster Pack FAQ