Reality Fracture Sealed · Booster pack

Is Reality Fracture - Sleeved Play Booster Worth Opening?

Reality FractureFRA

TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $5.48

1-year range $5.48$5.92 7.4% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.57×

EV $3.11, $2.37 less card value than the pack costs.

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Reality Fracture - Sleeved Play Booster Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $3.11, or 0.57× the $5.48 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $3.11 vs $5.48 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $1.07 of the $3.11 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 176.3% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$2.37 before fees and shipping

$0$2$4$6

$1.07 34.3%

$1.81 58.1%

$0.10 3.2%

$0.14 4.4%

$3.11 100%

−$2.37 card value below the pack price

Pack price$5.48

Wildcard / Treatment5 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons7 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $5.48

Wildcard / Treatment$1.07 · 34.3%

Rare / Mythic$1.81 · 58.1%

Commons & Uncommons$0.10 · 3.2%

Lands$0.14 · 4.4%

Pack EV$3.11

$2.37 under price

About Reality Fracture - Sleeved Play Booster

At $5.48 it trades near the bottom of its one-year range of $5.48 to $5.92.

What’s in the pack

14.0 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 5 per pack

Uncommon 2 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 4.0 per pack

Traditional Foil 1 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Common5 per pack

Uncommon2 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard4.0 per pack

Traditional Foil1 per pack

Land1 per pack

14.0 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 14.0 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.01 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	5.0	$1.07	$0.21	34.3%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$1.81	$1.81	58.1%
Commons & UncommonsSeven per pack	7	$0.10	$0.01	3.2%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.14	$0.14	4.4%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 14.0 cards	14.0	$3.11	$0.22	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$1.07
34.3%
5.0 cards per pack · $0.21 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$1.81
58.1%
1 card per pack · $1.81 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.10
3.2%
7 cards per pack · $0.01 per card · Seven per pack
Lands$0.14
4.4%
1 card per pack · $0.14 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 14.0 cards$3.11

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$3.11Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$6.68High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $6.68

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Reality Fracture - Sleeved Play Booster

The Theorist, Jace Beleren is the best pull at $38.82. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Reality Fracture prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	The Theorist, Jace BelerenMain set · Nonfoil · FRA #43	Mythic	$38.82	0.01	1 in 137 packs	$0.28	9.0%
2	Hexhaven InvigoratorMain set · Nonfoil · FRA #106	Mythic	$19.04	0.01	1 in 137 packs	$0.14	4.5%
3	Emrakul, the Exigent DoomMain set · Nonfoil · FRA #1	Mythic	$12.43	0.01	1 in 120 packs	$0.10	3.2%
4	Ajani UnrelentingMain set · Nonfoil · FRA #242	Mythic	$12.08	0.01	1 in 139 packs	$0.09	2.9%
5	Flickering HoundMain set · Nonfoil · FRA #7	Rare	$4.57	0.01	1 in 69 packs	$0.07	2.3%
6	Sphinx's ApproachMain set · Nonfoil · FRA #41	Common	$0.76	0.09	1 in 11 packs	$0.07	2.3%
7	Craterclaw ColossusMain set · Nonfoil · FRA #78	Mythic	$8.28	0.01	1 in 137 packs	$0.06	1.9%
8	Dark Matter ManipulatorMain set · Nonfoil · FRA #52	Rare	$3.90	0.01	1 in 69 packs	$0.06	1.9%
These eight together		$0.87, 28.0% of pack EV. The other $2.24 comes from the rest of the set.

Hexhaven Invigorator — The three mythics, $38.82, $19.04 and $12.43. Each turns up about once in 131 packs.

#1 The Theorist, Jace Beleren

FRA #43

Nonfoil

$38.82

EV $0.28 · 1 in 137 packs

#2 Hexhaven Invigorator

FRA #106

Nonfoil

$19.04

EV $0.14 · 1 in 137 packs

#3 Emrakul, the Exigent Doom

FRA #1

Nonfoil

$12.43

EV $0.10 · 1 in 120 packs

#4 Ajani Unrelenting

FRA #242

Nonfoil

$12.08

EV $0.09 · 1 in 139 packs

#5 Flickering Hound

FRA #7

Nonfoil

$4.57

EV $0.07 · 1 in 69 packs

#6 Sphinx's Approach

FRA #41

Nonfoil

$0.76

EV $0.07 · 1 in 11 packs

#7 Craterclaw Colossus

FRA #78

Nonfoil

$8.28

EV $0.06 · 1 in 137 packs

#8 Dark Matter Manipulator

FRA #52

Nonfoil

$3.90

EV $0.06 · 1 in 69 packs

1
The Theorist, Jace Beleren
FRA #43Nonfoil
$38.82 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 137 packs
$0.289.0% of EV
2
Hexhaven Invigorator
FRA #106Nonfoil
$19.04 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 137 packs
$0.144.5% of EV
3
Emrakul, the Exigent Doom
FRA #1Nonfoil
$12.43 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 120 packs
$0.103.2% of EV
4
Ajani Unrelenting
FRA #242Nonfoil
$12.08 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 139 packs
$0.092.9% of EV
5
Flickering Hound
FRA #7Nonfoil
$4.57 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 69 packs
$0.072.3% of EV
6
Sphinx's Approach
FRA #41Nonfoil
$0.76 market · 0.09 per pack · 1 in 11 packs
$0.072.3% of EV
7
Craterclaw Colossus
FRA #78Nonfoil
$8.28 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 137 packs
$0.061.9% of EV
8
Dark Matter Manipulator
FRA #52Nonfoil
$3.90 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 69 packs
$0.061.9% of EV

These eight together$0.87, 28.0% of pack EV

All Reality Fracture prices

Reality Fracture - Sleeved Play Booster Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, 34 days tracked, against its crack EV.

$3$4$5$6Oct 7Oct 16Oct 24Nov 2Nov 10Pack price$5.48Crack EV$3.11High $5.92

Crack EV has held below pack price for 34 days.

Now: $5.48; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $5.92; 8.0% above today
1-year low: $5.48; At the 1-year low

The Reality Fracture lineup

Every Reality Fracture product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.57×

The Reality Fracture - Sleeved Play Booster sells for $5.48 and carries $3.11 in expected card value at market, a 0.57× ratio and $2.37 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.57×

Reality Fracture - Sleeved Play Booster FAQ