Theros Sealed · Booster pack

Is Theros - Booster Pack Worth Opening?

TherosTHS

TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $10.17

1-year range $8.60$10.83 6.1% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.26×

EV $2.63, $7.54 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $10.17 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $6.74, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Theros - Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $2.63, or 0.26× the $10.17 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $2.63 vs $10.17 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.33 of the $2.63 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 387.0% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$7.54 before fees and shipping

$0$2.50$5$7.50$10$13

$0.33 12.7%

$2.17 82.4%

$0.13 4.9%

$0.00 0.0%

$2.63 100%

−$7.54 card value below the pack price

Pack price$10.17

Wildcard / Treatment1 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons12 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $10.17

Wildcard / Treatment$0.33 · 12.7%

Rare / Mythic$2.17 · 82.4%

Commons & Uncommons$0.13 · 4.9%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Pack EV$2.63

$7.54 under price

About Theros - Booster Pack

At $10.17 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $8.60 to $10.83.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Common9 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil0.2 per pack

Land1 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.01 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	1	$0.33	$0.33	12.7%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$2.17	$2.17	82.4%
Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack	12	$0.13	$0.01	4.9%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$2.63	$0.18	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$0.33
12.7%
1 card per pack · $0.33 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$2.17
82.4%
1 card per pack · $2.17 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.13
4.9%
12 cards per pack · $0.01 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
1 card per pack · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 15 cards$2.63

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$2.63Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$8.16High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $8.16

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Theros - Booster Pack

Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx is the best pull at $47.34. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Theros prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Nykthos, Shrine to NyxMain set · Nonfoil · THS #223	Rare	$47.34	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.78	29.7%
2	Swan SongMain set · Nonfoil · THS #65	Rare	$12.67	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.21	8.0%
3	Purphoros, God of the ForgeMain set · Nonfoil · THS #135	Mythic	$24.35	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.20	7.6%
4	Whip of ErebosMain set · Nonfoil · THS #110	Rare	$9.63	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.16	6.1%
5	ThoughtseizeMain set · Nonfoil · THS #107	Rare	$7.02	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.12	4.6%
6	Gray Merchant of AsphodelMain set · Nonfoil · THS #89	Common	$1.08	0.10	1 in 10 packs	$0.10	3.8%
7	Nykthos, Shrine to NyxMain set · Foil · THS #223	Rare	$171.02	0.00	1 in 1,793 packs	$0.10	3.8%
8	Erebos, God of the DeadMain set · Nonfoil · THS #85	Mythic	$10.77	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.09	3.4%
These eight together		$1.76, 66.9% of pack EV. The other $0.87 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx

THS #223

Nonfoil

$47.34

EV $0.78 · 1 in 60 packs

#2 Swan Song

THS #65

Nonfoil

$12.67

EV $0.21 · 1 in 60 packs

#3 Purphoros, God of the Forge

THS #135

Nonfoil

$24.35

EV $0.20 · 1 in 121 packs

#4 Whip of Erebos

THS #110

Nonfoil

$9.63

EV $0.16 · 1 in 60 packs

#5 Thoughtseize

THS #107

Nonfoil

$7.02

EV $0.12 · 1 in 60 packs

#6 Gray Merchant of Asphodel

THS #89

Nonfoil

$1.08

EV $0.10 · 1 in 10 packs

#7 Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx

THS #223

Foil

$171.02

EV $0.10 · 1 in 1,793 packs

#8 Erebos, God of the Dead

THS #85

Nonfoil

$10.77

EV $0.09 · 1 in 121 packs

1
Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx
THS #223Nonfoil
$47.34 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.7829.7% of EV
2
Swan Song
THS #65Nonfoil
$12.67 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.218.0% of EV
3
Purphoros, God of the Forge
THS #135Nonfoil
$24.35 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.207.6% of EV
4
Whip of Erebos
THS #110Nonfoil
$9.63 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.166.1% of EV
5
Thoughtseize
THS #107Nonfoil
$7.02 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.124.6% of EV
6
Gray Merchant of Asphodel
THS #89Nonfoil
$1.08 market · 0.10 per pack · 1 in 10 packs
$0.103.8% of EV
7
Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx
THS #223Foil
$171.02 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 1,793 packs
$0.103.8% of EV
8
Erebos, God of the Dead
THS #85Nonfoil
$10.77 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.093.4% of EV

These eight together$1.76, 66.9% of pack EV

All Theros prices

Theros - Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$-0$5$10Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$10.17Crack EV$2.63Mana Pool$6.741Y low $8.60

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 10, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 228 days.

Now: $10.17; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $10.83; 6.5% above today
1-year low: $8.60; Today is 18.3% higher

The Theros lineup

Every Theros product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.26×

The Theros - Booster Pack sells for $10.17 and carries $2.63 in expected card value at market, a 0.26× ratio and $7.54 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.26×

Theros - Booster Pack FAQ